3 Fresh Player Prop Bets for my Giant-Patriots Parlay
Monday Night Football features two teams at the opposite ends of the spectrum, as the 2-10 New York Giants hit the road to face the 10-2 New England Patriots. With a win, the Patriots could reclaim sole possession of the NFL’s best record, after the Denver Broncos narrowly defeated the Washington Commanders last night.
As the temperature drops in Foxborough, both teams will be looking to make a statement under the bright lights with their season trajectories hanging in the balance. The Giants’ rookie signal-caller is back in action, and he’ll be looking to build some momentum for this team as it moves into next season with a likely Top-5 pick hanging in the balance.
Below, I’ll break down my three favorite prop bets for the Giants at Patriots, focusing on players who are poised to deliver in the spotlight. The players I will be profiling include TreVeyon Henderson, Jaxson Dart, and DeMario Douglas. Let’s dive in and see where the value lies for tonight’s big game.
Best Bets for Monday Night Football: New York Giants at New England Patriots
TreVeyon Henderson: Over 82.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-114)
With the chill settling in over Foxborough tonight, I’m looking for the Patriots to trust Henderson even more than usual. Yes, Rhamondre Stevenson is back, but we’ve just seen how this backfield split is evolving, and it feels like the changing of the guard could finally be here. In last week’s win at Cincinnati, Henderson racked up 21 touches (18 carries, 3 catches) compared to Stevenson’s seven (6 carries, 1 catch).
Henderson has cleared 80 combined rushing and receiving yards in each of his last four outings, and he gets a juicy matchup against a Giants defense that’s giving up the most yards per carry to running backs (4.3) and the second-most rushing yards per game (126.8) to the position. Just last week, Big Blue surrendered a massive 264 total yards to Jahmyr Gibbs, and five of the previous six RB1s have gone for at least 98 total yards against them.
Jaxson Dart: Over 29.5 Passing Attempts (-112)
This marks Dart’s return to action after clearing concussion protocol, and I’d expect the Giants to dial up plenty of quick, short throws for him. It seems unlikely for them to gamble with his future on risky QB-designed runs that put him in this situation in the first place. Still, 30 passes are absolutely within reach for the rookie QB, especially given the circumstances.
Trying to run the ball against the Patriots is a dead end for just about anyone, whether you’re a running back or a quarterback. From a game-planning perspective, it makes sense for Dart to air it out more often tonight. Combine that with the obvious caution about him taking off and scrambling, and it’s easy to feel confident about this prop hitting for us.
DeMario Douglas – Longest Reception: Over 11.5 Receiving Yards (-108)
Douglas may not see as many targets as a Stefon Diggs or a Kayshon Boutte, but he’s making every look matter. Where he’s really shining is on chunk plays, going over this 11.5-yard mark for a longest catch in seven straight contests.
If you’re eyeing a prop like this, I say trust the trend, especially against a Giants secondary that’s coughing up the second-most air yards per game (119.5) and the fifth-most receiving yards (166.8) to wideouts. Just in their last two outings, New York has let six different receivers break off gains of 17 or more yards through the air. Let’s keep riding with Douglas in this spot!
