Best Bets for SNF: Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs on Dec. 7
Sunday Night Football brings us a marquee matchup between the Houston Texans and Kansas City Chiefs from Arrowhead Stadium. With major playoff implications on the line, both teams are looking to make a statement in this primetime showdown. The excitement surrounding this game is overflowing, as fans prepare for one of the biggest games of the season.
This is also a matchup of two of the best QBs in the game – Patrick Mahomes and CJ Stroud – who will both be featured in this article, for different reasons. Meanwhile, playmakers like Nico Collins are poised to make an impact, especially as both teams look to exploit defensive mismatches and capitalize on every opportunity. With so much talent on the field, the outcome could hinge on a handful of key plays and individual efforts.
Let’s take a closer look at the best ways to approach this exciting Chiefs vs. Texans showdown, specifically from the prop betting perspective.
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Best Bets for Sunday Night Football: Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs
CJ Stroud: Over 11.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Last week, against the Colts, Stroud returned to the Texans’ starting lineup after a month away. Upon return, I don’t think anyone was expecting Stroud to be running all over the place, and that amounted to only one attempt.
This time around, Stroud’s got a full game under his belt and draws a prime spot for quarterbacks to scramble against the Chiefs. Kansas City is giving up the third-most QB rushing attempts per game (5.4), as well as the eighth-most rushing yards to the position (21.3).
Over his last 10 games, Stroud has gone over this number in eight of them; last week’s game was a wash, and he barely missed by the hook on Sept. 28. Stroud won’t run often, but he certainly makes it count when he does. Stroud has even ripped off runs of 10+ yards in seven of his last 10 outings, so he may get this done on one scramble.
Patrick Mahomes: Over 0.5 Interceptions (+103)
Mahomes and the Chiefs are staring down one of their biggest challenges yet, taking on the NFL’s top-rated defense in points/total yards allowed. The Texans have snagged an interception in eight of their last ten games, which is particularly jaw-dropping when you realize the Jets haven’t recorded a single one the entire season.
Still, Mahomes enters this matchup having thrown a pick in four of his last five outings. The outdoor conditions could even play a factor, but I’m betting the turnover comes thanks to the Texans’ relentless front seven bringing the heat. This Houston defense is dialed in, and it’s tough to see Mahomes escaping without at least one blemish. Who knows, maybe we even see a “gift” interception on a last-second Hail Mary before halftime.
Nico Collins: Over 5.5 Receptions (-102)
Collins has hauled 5+ in four of his last five games, and he will certainly be needed tonight against the Chiefs in this mega-matchup. Since Stroud has returned to the lineup, Collins only had eight receptions in those two games, but those matchups were not of the easy variety.
WR1s against the Chiefs have been faring well in recent games, most notably CeeDee Lamb and his 7-112-1 stat line on Thanksgiving; his teammate George Pickens even added a 6-88-0 mark in the same game.
It’s about time that Stroud starts getting Collins more involved. In the three games Stroud missed (and Davis Mills) in the lineup, Collins never had fewer than seven receptions.
